Sellers Swarm, Bulls Unfazed

by on April 6, 2013 | ETFs Mentioned:

Selling pressures finally struck this past week on Wall Street, but much to the bears’ frustration the pullback was short-lived and welcomed by eager bargain buyers on Friday. The bears crept onto the scene this past Wednesday after ADP payroll data came in worse-than-expected; pessimistic suspicions proved true after Friday’s monthly employment report left many disappointed, although buyers were quick to step in after the early morning sell-off [see Free 7 Simple & Cheap All- ETF Model Portfolios].

Actionable ETF Trade Ideas

Our picks from Monday’s Insider posted solid performance results even after unexpected selling pressures rattled investors’ confidence this past week. Below, we highlight how our trade ideas fared during the week [sign up for a free trial of ETFdb Pro to get actionable ETF ideas every Monday, as well as access to more than 50 all-ETF model portfolios].

Last Week’s Actionable ETF Ideas
Ticker Position Week Performance
GLD

Long

Down Arrow -1.0%
IYT

Short

Up Arrow +5.9%
MOO

Long

Down Arrow -1.8%

Trade #1 Long GLD: Down 1.0%

This recommendation turned against us this week as our bullish suspicions for the precious yellow metal proved incorrect right from the start of the week. GLD traded sideways on Monday and gapped lower the following day, forcing us to incur a loss as our stop-loss at $153 a share was almost immediately triggered. Although this was discouraging to see, our disciplined exit strategy turned out for the best as GLD sank even lower on Wednesday and failed to recoup its losses by the end of the week. 

Trade #2 Short IYT: Up 5.9%

This recommendation was spot on as our bearish suspicions were very well timed with the broad market. IYT kicked off the week on a red note and selling pressures were quick to follow after this ETF broke below its steep trend line on Tuesday. Bearish pressures persisted for the rest of the week here and this ETF hit  our price target of $105 a share on Friday morning, leaving us with a hefty profit amid the panic selling on Wall Street. 

Trade #3 Long MOO: Down 1.8%

This trade drifted sideways from the start of the week as it failed to rebound off our outlined support level. Selling pressures on Wednesday knocked MOO below our stop-loss at $53 a share, leading us to exit the trade and incur a minor loss on the week here. 

ETFdb Portfolios

Retirement ETFdb Portfolios

Our retirement strategies posted mixed results as selling pressures collided with bargain shoppers. Year-to-date, our 30 Years Til Retirement Portfolio remains at the head of the pack while our Aggressive Portfolio sits at the bottom of the barrel. 

ETFdb Portfolio 1 Week 4 Week 13 Week YTD 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year
5 Years Til Retirement Portfolio -0.53% -0.16% 3.22% 5.32% 11.44% 33.26% n/a
10 Years Til Retirement Portfolio -0.65% -0.13% 4.02% 6.37% 13.61% 35.86% 85.99%
20 Years Til Retirement Portfolio -0.78% -0.28% 4.57% 7.32% 15.29% 40.38% 98.80%
30 Years Til Retirement Portfolio -0.72% -0.44% 4.90% 7.15% 16.24% 42.93% 107.69%
Aggressive Portfolio -0.79% -0.59% 4.86% 6.38% 14.58% 29.02% n/a
Cheapskate Portfolio 0.18% 1.20% 5.06% 8.30% 15.71% n/a n/a
Low Volatility Portfolio -0.34% 0.32% 2.75% 4.96% 7.88% n/a n/a
Moderate Portfolio -0.60% -0.23% 3.54% 6.00% 11.76% 28.95% n/a
Ready To Retire ETFdb Portfolio -0.51% 0.24% 2.91% 5.85% 9.27% 24.63% 63.33%
As Of 07-30-2014
Regional ETFdb Portfolios

Selling pressures on Wall Street spilled over into other corners of the global equity market as evidenced by the negative performances among our regional strategies. Year-to-date, the Global Titans Portfolio remains at the top of the performance list while our Africa-Centric Portfolio is still the laggard in the group. 

ETFdb Portfolio 1 Week 4 Week 13 Week YTD 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year
Africa-Centric Portfolio -0.06% 1.60% 2.19% 9.54% 20.63% 18.85% n/a
Asia-Centric ETFdb Portfolio 0.11% 1.04% 8.14% 7.60% 14.07% 10.02% n/a
BRIC-or-Bust ETFdb Portfolio -1.35% -1.67% 8.42% 5.21% 12.94% -13.23% n/a
Easy-As-ABC ETFdb Portfolio -1.36% -0.89% 3.06% 3.64% -0.88% n/a n/a
Emerging & Frontier Markets ETFdb Portfolio -0.57% 0.91% 6.46% 7.93% 11.10% 2.01% n/a
Euro Free Europe Portfolio -1.39% -3.30% 0.25% -1.09% 7.78% 14.61% n/a
Ex-Europe ETFdb Portfolio -0.43% 0.70% 4.60% 7.37% 13.08% 27.99% 71.60%
Ex-U.S. Portfolio -0.50% -0.11% 4.10% 5.65% 14.52% 16.35% 51.03%
Global Titans ETFdb Portfolio -0.52% -1.03% 1.79% 3.43% 12.08% 27.14% n/a
LatAm Centric ETFdb Portfolio -0.30% 1.04% 6.12% 3.88% 5.10% n/a n/a
As Of 07-30-2014
Themed ETFdb Portfolios

The majority of our themed strategies ended up in red territory for the week given their predominantly equity-focused portfolios. Year-to-date, the Baby Boomers Portfolio continues to lead the way with double-digit gains while the GLD-Free Gold Bug Portfolio is still the worst performing one by far. 

ETFdb Portfolio 1 Week 4 Week 13 Week YTD 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year
Actively-Managed ETF Portfolio -0.18% 1.03% 3.70% 4.24% 7.40% n/a n/a
2012 ETFdb Portfolio -1.09% -1.89% 4.93% 7.14% 16.73% n/a n/a
AlphaDEX ETFdb Portfolio -1.00% -1.11% 3.54% 4.21% 12.08% 22.90% n/a
Alpha Seeker Portfolio 2.0 -1.08% -0.57% 3.97% 6.23% 11.48% 30.52% n/a
Baby Boomers ETFdb Portfolio -0.30% -1.17% 6.80% 8.41% 22.57% 75.50% n/a
Ben Graham 50/50 Portfolio -0.72% 0.28% 3.49% 5.86% 9.93% n/a n/a
Better-Than-AGG Total Bond Market ETFdb Portfolio -0.64% 0.03% 1.38% 4.46% 4.81% 9.31% n/a
Black Swan Hyperinflation Portfolio -0.80% -2.35% 0.82% 5.16% 3.57% -12.63% n/a
Commodity Guru ETFdb Portfolio -1.15% -1.57% 0.66% 3.50% 6.89% -2.36% n/a
Cheapskate Hedge Fund ETFdb Portfolio -0.20% 0.13% 1.79% 2.23% 2.72% -2.71% n/a
Energy Bull ETFdb Portfolio -1.48% -2.40% 2.32% 6.88% 15.19% 17.27% n/a
Equal Weight ETFdb Portfolio -0.55% -0.24% 3.78% 5.89% 11.16% n/a n/a
Financials Free ETFdb Portfolio -0.59% -0.59% 1.76% 6.65% 14.42% 33.19% 80.76%
Futures Free Commodity ETFdb Portfolio -1.18% -0.98% 2.30% 4.37% 7.53% -17.74% n/a
GLD-Free Gold Bug ETFdb Portfolio -0.43% -1.51% 5.85% 19.79% 2.57% -32.90% n/a
Greedy When Others Are Fearful ETFdb Portfolio 0.24% 2.14% 4.51% 8.86% n/a n/a n/a
High-Tax Bracket ETF Portfolio -0.56% -0.32% 3.33% 5.64% 12.17% 27.77% 70.66%
High Tech ETFdb Portfolio 0.26% 0.96% 11.04% 11.64% 24.48% n/a n/a
High Yield ETFdb Portfolio -0.84% -0.49% 3.20% 6.82% 12.95% 41.49% 96.89%
King Dollar ETFdb Portfolio -0.14% 0.79% 3.74% 5.20% 9.26% 22.99% n/a
Kitchen Sink ETFdb Portfolio -0.74% -1.38% 2.01% 3.90% 9.78% 23.81% n/a
Monthly Dividend ETFdb Portfolio -0.58% -0.52% 2.78% 7.38% 11.85% 35.70% n/a
Pure Growth ETFdb Portfolio -0.82% -1.08% 4.68% 5.45% 13.52% n/a n/a
Pure Value ETFdb Portfolio -1.30% -1.33% 3.39% 5.80% 16.12% n/a n/a
RAFI ETFdb Portfolio -0.80% -1.00% 4.26% 5.39% 17.33% 37.01% 95.89%
Simple (But Effective) Safe Haven ETFdb Portfolio -1.16% -1.81% 0.28% 6.77% 8.59% 19.47% 64.21%
Small Cap ETFdb Portfolio -0.88% -2.24% 2.79% 4.04% 11.37% 27.80% n/a
The Sky Is Falling Portfolio -0.10% -0.07% -1.69% 0.74% -0.62% 1.48% n/a
Socially Responsible ETFdb Portfolio -0.56% -0.49% 3.71% 4.83% 10.65% n/a n/a
Risk On ETFdb Portfolio -0.79% 0.15% 6.88% 10.27% 18.95% n/a n/a
Consumer Centric ETFdb Portfolio -0.27% 0.15% 2.91% 4.10% 12.04% n/a n/a
Agri-Bull ETFdb Portfolio -0.98% -3.01% -2.73% 3.83% 9.26% 6.24% n/a
8% Yield ETFdb Portfolio -0.40% -0.12% 3.58% 8.43% 13.87% n/a n/a
Mining Boom ETFdb Portfolio -0.23% 0.77% 8.90% 12.65% 11.71% n/a n/a
2013 ETFdb Portfolio -1.37% -1.39% 2.65% 6.82% 12.06% n/a n/a
As Of 07-30-2014

Disclosure: No positions at time of writing.