The Sky Is Falling Portfolio

Published on September 11, 2009 | Updated February 17, 2012

Portfolio Strategy

Short to Intermediate Time HorizonLow Risk ToleranceHigh Current IncomeThe Sky Is Falling ETFdb Portfolio is designed for investors who are pessimistic on the short term outlook for the U.S. and broader global economy. Our inspiration for this ETFdb Portfolio comes from several sources, including gold bugs like Bud Conrad, advocates of commodity investing like Jim Rogers, and noted value investors like Warren Buffett. We have also taken note of countless analysts and investors predicting a “double dip” recession.

We have tilted this ETFdb Portfolio heavily towards low-risk investments that tend to perform well in uncertain or adverse economic environments, including gold, commodities, and inflation-protected securities. While we retain a small allocation to equities in this portfolio, this portion is dominated by value and defensive equities that generally experience smaller declines in down markets. While some investors may wish to avoid exposure to equities altogether in bear markets, we believe that ignoring this asset class completely is short-sighted, and as such have given a 25% allocation to equities. This allows investors to participate in any upside if the markets rise while limiting the downside risk in a bear market.

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