As 2009 draws to a close, it appears that this will be another “year of the mid cap.” Although equities of all sizes have posted strong gains this year (particularly when compared to 2008), mid caps have led the way, and mid cap ETFs have generally outperformed their small and large cap peers. Some investors take a “barbell” approach to the domestic equity portion of their portfolios, allocating assets primarily to large cap and small cap ETFs, and anticipating that the risk and return profile of mid caps will fall somewhere in between.
While they fall between these two groups in size, the same can’t always be said for performance: mid caps have been known to deliver returns both excess and inferior returns. [click to continue…]
In the summer of 1992, Eugene Fama and Kenneth French published “The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns” in The Journal of Finance, a groundbreaking analysis that prompted financial presses to run headlines declaring “beta is dead.” While the death sentence may have been a bit severe, it struck a significant blow to a widely-accepted and longstanding financial concept, causing academics and investors to reconsider tenets they once took for granted.
In recent decades, a collection of academic studies, disillusioned investors, and financial innovations have contributed to a similar prognosis for beta’s Greek neighbor, alpha. The idea that was hatched by Brinson and Hood and supported by the likes of Ibbotson and Kaplan and Barras and Scaillet was fueled by years of investor frustration. Following the introduction and rapid rise in the popularity of indexing and ETFs, it seemed that what started out as a scholarly whisper had grown into a deafening roar. The proclamation didn’t come from a single voice or article, but was the collective result of years of research and investor sentiment that has seemingly led to a fatal promulgation: alpha is dead.
Or is it?
[click to continue…]
