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  1. ETF Strategist Channel
  2. The U.S. Economy is Bigger Than Just Politics
ETF Strategist Channel
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The U.S. Economy is Bigger Than Just Politics

Stringer Asset Management   Sep 19, 2022
2022-09-19

As we face midterm elections in the coming months, it is important to have some perspective on what really contributes to U.S. economic growth. Despite the rhetoric, the long-term growth of our economy is not in the hands of government officials. The depth and breadth of the U.S. capitalistic system makes our economy beyond the control of a political party, branch of government, or individual. Rather, the decisions and innovations made in the private sector propel U.S. prosperity over time.

To illustrate this point, consider a spectrum of executive power. On one extreme is the President of China, which is a centrally planned economy. China has a communist system where governmental control is based in Beijing, and the government is heavily involved in their economy and owns the major banks. Through this and other mechanisms, the President of China can direct resources and economic activity.

On the other end of the spectrum is the U.S. government with no centralized mechanism for control. For example, at every step, the U.S. President faces potential challenges from Congress, the judiciary, and even the states in addition to other areas.

Our founding fathers, who were suspicious of tyrannical governments, intentionally crafted our form of government so that no branch, especially the executive branch, could wield too much power. Governmental policy change in the U.S. is a slow grind as compared to the more dramatic changes we see in some other countries. Our President must work with Congress, hundreds of judges on the federal judiciary, and the 50 states in order to enact significant changes. Objections at any level can gum up the works, and that is by design. While the President can make things easier or more difficult for some sectors and industries, the broader economy is purposely out of the President’s reach.

The U.S. Economy is Bigger Than Just Politics

The U.S. economy, which is fueled by innovation and labor force growth, is dominated by the private sector. We can see this phenomenon in the long-term growth trends of the overall economy, as well as in the rates growth of productivity and the labor force.

For example, consider growth in Gross Domestic Product (GDP), which is a very broad measure of economic activity. In the post-World War II era, we have seen Republican and Democratic presidential administrations come and go. There is no clear trend in the GDP data related to which party held sway in Washington, D.C., because our economy is bigger than what occurs within the Washington beltway.

U.S. economic growth over time is primarily driven by the private sector through the growth rate of the labor force and through innovation that leads to higher productivity. So, the solution to getting faster economic growth over the long-term rests with the private sector. Innovation and creativity inspired by private sector competition can lead to new modes of production, which can make the labor force more efficient and increase production per hour.

These are the true drivers that increase the standards of living dating back from the advent of steel production through mechanized farming, and all the way to the digital age.

Our founding fathers were wise to learn from history and established our governmental system that, while not perfect, has stood the test of time. Recall that it was individuals like Henry Ford and the Wright Brothers who were at the forefront of innovation at the beginning of the 20th century and Steve Jobs and Bill Gates many decades later, with untold numbers of contributions from innovators in between. We look forward to seeing where our country’s innovators will lead us next.


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DISCLOSURES

Any forecasts, figures, opinions or investment techniques and strategies explained are Stringer Asset Management, LLC’s as of the date of publication. They are considered to be accurate at the time of writing, but no warranty of accuracy is given and no liability in respect to error or omission is accepted. They are subject to change without reference or notification. The views contained herein are not be taken as an advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any investment and the material should not be relied upon as containing sufficient information to support an investment decision. It should be noted that the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested.

Past performance and yield may not be a reliable guide to future performance. Current performance may be higher or lower than the performance quoted.

The securities identified and described may not represent all of the securities purchased, sold or recommended for client accounts. The reader should not assume that an investment in the securities identified was or will be profitable.

Data is provided by various sources and prepared by Stringer Asset Management, LLC and has not been verified or audited by an independent accountant.

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