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  1. ETF Strategist Content Hub
  2. BIG NUMBER | 12.9% | A Big Quarter for Small Stocks
ETF Strategist Content Hub
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BIG NUMBER | 12.9% | A Big Quarter for Small Stocks

Horizon   Sep 26, 2025
2025-09-26

Can the small-cap surge continue?

Small-cap stocks, represented by the Russell 2000, soared more than 2.5% following the Fed’s decision last week to cut a key short-term interest rate—pushing the index to its first record-high close since November 2021, although it nearly made it back in November of last year (see the chart).

What’s more, small caps are up 12.9% so far this quarter*—far outpacing the large-cap S&P 500 index’s 7.7% return.

Russell 2000 Index of Small-Company Stocks

Russell 2000 Index of Small-Company Stocks
Bloomberg, calculations by Horizon, data as of 09/19/2025. Indices are unmanaged and do not have fees or expense charges, both of which would lower returns. It is not possible to invest directly in an index.

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This surge, coming after an extended period of relative underperformance, has been fueled in part by expectations of Fed rate cuts. Small companies typically depend more on short-term debt to fund their operations than do larger firms—so the Fed’s decision to lower rates should particularly benefit smaller companies by reducing their cost of doing business.

Other factors boosting small caps: Earnings growth in the sector continues to improve, and consumer spending remains strong (as evidenced by higher-than-expected retail sales in August).

That said, small-caps have staged brief rallies in the past before once again falling behind their large-cap peers. But regardless of whether the recent outperformance lasts, we believe a small-cap stock allocation in goals-based portfolios could make sense. For example, given the heavy concentration of tech stocks in some popular large-cap indices, small-cap investments can help diversify a portfolio—especially since many small-cap offerings hold positions in sectors such as financials and industrials that are underrepresented in many large-cap investments.

Originally published September 24, 2025

For more news, information, and analysis, visit the ETF Strategist Content Hub.

*As of September 19, 2025

Disclosure Information

The Russell 2000 is a widely used stock market index that tracks the performance of approximately 2,000

U.S. small-cap companies. References to indices, or other measures of relative market performance over a specified period of time are provided for informational purposes only. Reference to an index does not imply that any account will achieve returns, volatility or other results similar to that index. The composition of an index may not reflect the manner in which a portfolio is constructed in relation to expected or achieved returns, portfolio guidelines, restrictions, sectors, correlations, concentrations, volatility or tracking error targets, all of which are subject to change. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Information obtained from third party sources is believed reliable but has not been vetted by the firm or its personnel.

This commentary is written by Horizon’s asset management team. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Nothing contained herein should be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. This report does not attempt to examine all the facts and circumstances that may be relevant to any company, industry, or security mentioned herein. We are not soliciting any action based on this document. It is for the general information of clients of Horizon Investments, LLC (“Horizon”). This document does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. Before acting on any analysis, advice, or recommendation in this document, clients should consider whether the security in question is suitable for their particular circumstances and, if necessary, seek professional advice. Investors may realize losses on any investments. Asset allocation cannot eliminate the risk of fluctuating prices and uncertain returns. All investing involves the risk of loss.

The investments recommended by Horizon are not guaranteed. There can be economic times when all investments are unfavorable and depreciate in value. Clients may lose money. This commentary is based on public information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied on as such. The opinions expressed herein are our opinions as of the date of this document. These opinions may not be reflected in all of our strategies. We do not intend to and will not endeavor to update the information discussed in this document. No part of this document may be (i) copied, photocopied, or duplicated in any form by any means or (ii) redistributed without Horizon’s prior written consent. Forward-looking statements cannot be guaranteed. Other disclosure information is available at www.horizoninvestments.com.

Horizon Investments is a registered trademark of Horizon Investments, LLC

©2025 Horizon Investments, LLC.

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