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ETFdb.com is recommending a new short position for the month ahead. This short recommendation is based around a bearish trend year-to-date that is running into escalating fears stemming from overseas instability. Below, we outline our investment thesis and outlook for the new recommendation.

This position is motivated by sheer profit-taking pressures that could accelerate dangerously fast in the event that weakness in emerging markets spills over to developed equities when the bulls least expect it.

The new short recommendation is based around:

  • A developed equity market ETF that is down nearly 2% in just the past week alone and down almost 4% year-to-date
  • This ETF has seen outflows of more than $10M year-to-date despite being one of the most popular foreign equity funds
  • From a fundamental perspective, the currency crisis in emerging markets along with rate hike fears in the U.S. poses a serious threat to this ETF in the near term
  • From a technical perspective, the ETF currently demonstrates a near-term dominant bearish trend
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